Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000633 0.000720 0.000813 0.000919 0.001035 0.001159 0.001300
2025-10-05 0.000512 0.000636 0.000777 0.000946 0.001144 0.001366 0.001634
2025-10-12 0.000444 0.000585 0.000752 0.000961 0.001215 0.001511 0.001878
2025-10-19 0.000381 0.000530 0.000714 0.000953 0.001253 0.001612 0.002070
2025-10-26 0.000331 0.000485 0.000680 0.000943 0.001282 0.001699 0.002243
2025-11-02 0.000298 0.000455 0.000663 0.000951 0.001331 0.001808 0.002444
2025-11-09 0.000266 0.000425 0.000642 0.000950 0.001366 0.001899 0.002621
2025-11-16 0.000230 0.000385 0.000603 0.000921 0.001361 0.001936 0.002729
2025-11-23 0.000202 0.000352 0.000571 0.000899 0.001363 0.001980 0.002845
2025-11-30 0.000182 0.000331 0.000553 0.000895 0.001387 0.002053 0.003000
2025-12-07 0.000165 0.000312 0.000538 0.000892 0.001413 0.002128 0.003159
2025-12-14 0.000147 0.000291 0.000518 0.000881 0.001425 0.002183 0.003289
2025-12-21 0.000130 0.000269 0.000495 0.000864 0.001429 0.002228 0.003409
2025-12-28 0.000124 0.000264 0.000498 0.000888 0.001493 0.002359 0.003653
2026-01-04 0.000116 0.000256 0.000496 0.000903 0.001544 0.002473 0.003873
2026-01-11 0.000105 0.000241 0.000480 0.000896 0.001559 0.002535 0.004021
2026-01-18 0.000094 0.000227 0.000464 0.000886 0.001571 0.002590 0.004161
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000218 0.000459 0.000893 0.001609 0.002685 0.004359
2026-02-01 0.000080 0.000208 0.000449 0.000892 0.001633 0.002760 0.004528
2026-02-08 0.000070 0.000190 0.000425 0.000865 0.001613 0.002767 0.004597
2026-02-15 0.000062 0.000176 0.000405 0.000844 0.001603 0.002788 0.004687
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000167 0.000395 0.000840 0.001620 0.002850 0.004839
2026-03-01 0.000051 0.000159 0.000386 0.000838 0.001640 0.002918 0.005000